June 2009 StatisticsJune 2009 Charts2009 Quarter 2 StatisticsHighlights:*Number of listings is
HIGH*Number of sales is
MEDIUM (getting better!)
*Sales price is
STEADY
Analysis:Here in Walla Walla we're in the heat of summer (very literally), which is traditionally one of the busiest times of the year in the real estate market. What are things like this year? Well, there is some good and some... less good. It really depends on your perspective and where you fit into the market.
With 594 homes on the market in June inventory is very near an all time high.
The number of monthly closings has steadily increased since the beginning of the year—and was in fact better than June of last year—but is still far below the highs we saw in 2006 and 2007.
Probably the biggest surprise is sales price, which remains unexpectedly steady.
So what does all this mean? If we look below the surface you can see the story of two markets. Lets break things down into two groups- homes under $300,000 and homes $300,000 and over.
Group 1 - homes under $300KNumber active on market: 311
Total year-to-date sales: 141
Percentage year-to-date sales vs. number active on market: 45.3%
Group 2 - homes $300K and overNumber active on market: 138
Total year-to-date sales: 25
Percentage year-to-date sales vs. number active on market: 18.1%
The difference is pretty clear- affordable homes are still selling while the market for higher priced homes is more stagnant. If we lower the cutoff sales price to $225,000 the difference increases- 53.0% for homes under $225K vs. 21.7% for homes $225K and up.
What does this mean? Some difference in these figures should be expected- we're obviously going to sell more $150K starter homes than $500K estates. Still, I think it shows that our market for affordable homes is reasonably healthy. The decline in the number of sales of higher priced homes is evidence of the real estate downturn in the rest of the country (fewer people selling in higher priced markets and moving to Walla Walla).
Now is this anaylsis statistically sound? No- for one we're completely ignoring pending sales (most should convert to sales, some will go back to active on market). Is it observationally interesting? Yes- I think so at least.
Outlook:High inventory and low interest rates mean it is still a
great time to buy a home. Selling a home for a good price is also still very possible- it just depends on your situation and where you fit into the market. If you need help with buying or selling don't hesitate to
get in contact.